What lies over the horizon
Global and emerging risk case studies.
- Level
- Bitesize
- Learning time
- 1 hour 15 minutes
- Where
- Strategic Risk
- Price
- £39
When you step up to a higher level, what you paid in the last 12 months for lower-level courses inside the bigger course comes off its price, in proportion to how much of each is inside it, whichever topic it's from. Courses at the same or a lower level don't give credit against each other. A Focus course or above always costs at least £15. Read the full terms
Certificate of Completion
Overview and Outcomes.
Overview
Leaders cannot control global risk, but they can decide how it shapes their planning. This module reads the World Economic Forum's Global Risks Report 2026 across two horizons: the loud, fast moving risks of the two year Age of Competition and the quiet, accumulating risks of the ten year view. Drawing on Kaplan and Mikes's external risk category, it sets out practical shifts for holding both horizons at once. This capstone brings three real failures and every framework from the programme, with no new theory. You diagnose Volkswagen's Dieselgate emissions scandal, the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and the failure of FTX before comparing your view with the frameworks in play, including normalised deviance, risk appetite ownership, COSO, the three lines of defence and Kaplan and Mikes's categories. It ends with a four move toolkit for your own organisation.
What you'll develop
In this Bitesize, you will develop the ability to:
- Describe the leading risks on the two year and ten year horizons and explain why their rankings differ.
- Distinguish loud risk from quiet risk and explain how each tends to be missed.
- Apply three practical shifts, holding both horizons, assuming interconnection and building scenario capacity, while avoiding the common misreadings.
- Analyse a real risk failure by identifying for yourself which frameworks apply and why.
- Identify the four patterns common to the Volkswagen, Silicon Valley Bank and FTX failures.
The Modules.
1 hour 15 minutes of learning.
- 10The Global Risk Landscape and the Future of RiskLeaders cannot control global risk, but they can decide how it shapes their planning. This module reads the World Economic Forum's Global Risks Report 2026 across two horizons: the loud, fast moving risks of the two year Age of Competition and the quiet, accumulating risks of the ten year view. Drawing on Kaplan and Mikes's external risk category, it sets out practical shifts for holding both horizons at once.38 min
- 11Applied Case Studies: The CapstoneThis capstone brings three real failures and every framework from the programme, with no new theory. You diagnose Volkswagen's Dieselgate emissions scandal, the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and the failure of FTX before comparing your view with the frameworks in play, including normalised deviance, risk appetite ownership, COSO, the three lines of defence and Kaplan and Mikes's categories. It ends with a four move toolkit for your own organisation.38 min
Go deeper, and pay only the difference
- You are hereBitesize, 1 hour 15 minutes, £39
- Next stepFocus, Setting the appetite for risk, 4 hours, £69. Already own the Bitesize? You pay £30.
- Explore, Owning the risk, 5 hours, £129. Already own the Bitesize? You pay £90.
- The whole topicImmerse, Risk worth taking, 9 hours 30 minutes, £249. Already own the Bitesize? You pay £210.
When you step up to a higher level, what you paid in the last 12 months for lower-level courses inside the bigger course comes off its price, in proportion to how much of each is inside it, whichever topic it's from. Courses at the same or a lower level don't give credit against each other. A Focus course or above always costs at least £15. Prices per person. Read the full terms
Also part of: Seeing further, together
Other Bitesize in the Strategic Risk topic
- Why risk belongs to leadersRisk management basics for leaders45 minutes£39
- Risk as part of the planRisk culture and risk in strategy1 hour 30 minutes£39
- Joining up the risk pictureEnterprise risk management and COSO1 hour 15 minutes£39
- How much risk is enough?Risk assessment and board risk appetite1 hour 15 minutes£39
- When reputations are on the linePublic sector risk and reputational risk1 hour 15 minutes£39
- Odds, upside and downsideProbability and the risk-opportunity matrix1 hour 15 minutes£39
